I was contacted late last week by a Manchester Journalist who wanted a skeptical opinion on a prediction that a local psychic had made. He had found me through ‘Project Barnum’ and I was happy to take a look at what had been predicted.
The psychic, Amber Ja Lee, predicts there will be an earthquake in Manchester. Today an article has been published in which I am quoted as ‘the skeptic’.
According to ‘Mancunian Matters’:
n one of her latest visions, Amber saw The Trafford Centre, Manchester’s largest shopping complex, hit by underground tremors.
“I won’t go to The Trafford Centre because it doesn’t seem right to me,” she said.
“I went in once and I was looking around and could see cracks appearing.”
The piece quotes me as saying:
Hayley Stevens, a sceptic, established the ‘Project Barnum’ campaign to warn people against taking predications like Amber’s too seriously. Miss Stevens said: “I would suggest that if such a thing were to happen, then the fact that Amber dreamt about something similar was a coincidence and nothing more.”
Which is very true, but as my full statement wasn’t used (due to them having to trim it to make it fit) my quote is a bit out of context. I thought it would be worth posting the full statement I wrote for them to provide the context it was written in.
A little bit of digging online into earthquake statistics in the UK showed that Ambers prediction would be even less impressive if an earthquake actually struck the area. Here is my full comment:
Lets examine Ambers prediction – if it comes true it would seem impressive at first; however, most earthquakes occur on the western side of the British mainland, and earthquakes have been felt in the city in the last decade so it wouldn’t be that strange if there was seismic activity in the city. I would suggest that if such a thing were to happen, then the fact that Amber dreamt about something similar was a coincidence and nothing more.